TURKEY IS ''PRINCIPAL FACTOR'' IN MIDDLE EAST

27/11/2016



Turkey keeps its orientation westward on one hand and on the other it tends toward the East. It is possible for Turkey, which has one foot in the West and other in the East, to be “the most important factor” in the future of Europe and the Middle East. The latest developments and discussions make Turkey “a very important matter” and the residents of the Middle East point out that Turkey will be “the principal factor” in the future of the Middle East. With its elections, Iraq initiates a new phase in regard to its history and the history of the Middle East. As the US has been indicating for long time, it may reduce its troops in Iraq. It is not conceivable that the US will leave Iraq to Iraqis; however it might let Iraqis be more effective in Iraq and in controlling its own destiny. Iraq will need much foreign aid and support tomorrow and Turkey is the only westerner country in the region to provide this support. Meanwhile Turkey is crucial because of its relations with Syria. Turkey made a very valuable contribution to the US and Syria when it took an active role in achieving the interrogation of 5 key figures regarding the investigation of Hariri’s murder. Beside, Turkey with Syria has fallowed a moderate and constructive policy toward Iran as well. As it was the case in the Hariri’s murder, it contributed in acknowledging cooperation with the international community in the case of the nuclear crises. If Turkey had ever shared the US’s myopic policies and permitted cold winds in its relations with Iran and Syria, Syria might not have cooperated in interrogating the suspects regarding Hariri’s murder and Iran as well might not have taken any step in inspection of the nuclear facilities. Syria benefits from Turkey’s experience in democracy and open market. Even though the US criticizes Syria for being slow in democratization, we should acknowledge that Syria is taking successful steps in “the frame of possibilities”. Damascus ensures the sustainability of these steps and not to exceed the capacity of the society’s digestion by slow steps. It is possible that it takes into consideration the fact that “blind and rapid democratization causes orange revolutions.” Given that the US has no blood feud with Assad –as it was the case for Saddam- it is possible to think that if Syria keeps the way open it will benefit from Turkey’s experience, the objection of the US towards Syria will be drastically reduced. Like Syria, Iran, which suffers from pressures from the US, feels an ethnic unrest very near to itself may not act as flexible as Syria. But in any case, given that it is not like Iraq in any way and it enjoys an economic advantage; Iran can resist longer and can preserve its influence in the equations of the region. However, Iran needs a friend in the region and at the same time the US needs a reliable ally to draw Iran into the international system. If ever Iran doesn’t take some steps against its national interest, if Iraq and Syria keep themselves from the projects which damage their future and interest, then Turkey, “democratic partner” as it is called in American terms, can be conducive in shaping a suffer-free Middle East as well as in preventing the US from being more damaging in the Middle East. Roughly this situation is proper for applying “good police and bad police”, and it helps Turkey to reinforce its stability by preventing instability in its eastern wing. Certainly the vice versa case is possible. Both Iran and Syria may disintegrate and it is not possible to estimate how many states or regions might come out of them. To be realistic, Iran is a country dominated by Persians with Shi’i identity, and there is no majority belong to any group. The common characteristic between Iran and Syria is that the states are in “the hands of a minority in both countries”. So in Iran, Azerbaijani, Kurds, Baloch, Turkmen and Arabs are forming the majority. Iran is made up of 28 provinces and 69 million people; in the Iranian population one out of four is Azerbaijani, 7 of 100 of Iranian are Kurds, 8 of them are Gilaki and Mazandarani, 3 of them are Arabs, 2 of them are Lors, and 2 of them are Turkmen. Also nine percent of Iranians are Sunnis, and 2 percent are non-Muslims. The regime in Iran keeps fighting with its public. The non-Persians are the enemies of the regime even though it doesn’t depend on the nationalistic concept. Iran hasn’t accepted the principle of living under different identities, and sharing the resources of the country. That is why the police go on to collect satellites from the roofs, but the time for Iran to compromise with the change is coming. Iran has to take some liberal steps to preserve its regime and the country. The Kurds who took a special position in Iraq might inspire some circles in Iran. Ukraine and Georgia can be a model for most of the opponents. Tehran has to take some steps toward democracy. Otherwise, Iran may face pressure from nationalistic movements inward and have huge pressure from the outside. It can fall to play the field of “America’s new Middle Eastern ally”, the Kurds. Ankara, Damascus and Tehran got into strong and long-lasting cooperation during the two Iraqi wars. It is possible that Tehran and Damascus develop the cooperation to sustain on the grounds of its national interest and sensitivity regarding Iraq. It is possible that Tehran and Damascus could continue and sustain this cooperation because of its national interest and sensitivity regarding iraq. Syria, Iran and Turkey, which were sometimes distrustful towards each other during the Cold War, may ensure that they make their stability a factor of regional and global stability by developing the regional cooperation and linking this multiple process to regional and global processes. Both in Syria and Iran, different ethnic groups seek to have their security concerns removed, to have their right to develop their cultures and languages. Also in both countries, there are intensive demands for more employment, higher living standards and more democracy regardless of ethnic identity. However in the Iranian case, it is not possible to secure these demands by meeting partly the so called “expectations of the public”. Even though Iran does provide more employment, food and freedom, it can not satisfy Azerbaijani Turks. In Iran, the Davum-u Hurdad, the official newspaper belongs to the Militant Clergy Party, says in the articles that “Turks in Iran are originally Persians, and they were turkized as results of Turkish invasions in the course of history”. These articles remind us of the Cold War era, and it doesn’t help to reduce tensions in the society, rather it can increase it. As a matter of fact, that the hardliner Persians reacted against the decision to accept death day of Azerbaijani poet Shahriar as “National Poet and Literature Day” is not constructive rather destructive and not bonding but a separatist afford Moreover the Tehran, which is supposed to support conciliation and to set the society, has changed the streets with Azerbaijani names to Persian names. That indicates that Iran is looking in false field to remove its security concerns. The crucial problem in Iran is depending upon the outcome of the discussion regarding “sub and upper identities.” Tehran should keep itself at the same distance from everyone who belongs to the Iranian Islamic Republic by citizenship and respect the cultures and languages of all individuals and groups. Otherwise, Iranians can tend to those who promise these rights. No doubt, it won’t be easy for Iran to change the western countries view of its nuclear program. However it is an important reason for being optimist that Ali Larijani, Iran' top nuclear negotiator, said that Iran would only accept proposals to resolve the dispute which allowed it to produce nuclear fuel on its own soil. Iran says it will only enrich uranium to a level useable in atomic power reactors In spite of the failed to persuade the West, it can again take some steps. Because of deep the distrust between Tehran and the USA, Washington fears it could use the same technology to make bomb-grade material. At this point, Iran can eliminate the facilities necessary for bomb-developing. In this context also the crucial step might be to fallow the policies that consider the stability of the region and not to discriminate between its citizens.
porno izlegaziantep escort bayanbrazzers